Sunday, July 30, 2006

A Conspiracy Theory, Or Two...

I am not a fan of conspiracy theories despite their popularity in the Middle East. However, I'm a bit confused by the clumsiness of the IAF.

First, the IAF destroys a clearly marked UN observation post, killing 4 UN observers. This incident has, no doubt, sent chills down the spine of any country that was considering sending peacekeepers to Lebanon. This was, indeed, a very unproductive act.

Today, the IAF levels a building serving as a shelter to many children in Qana, the same Qana where the IDF committed another terrible mistake 10 years ago. The carnage is no less devastating in terms of its human toll and forces Israel to accept a cease-fire it has been resisting for 2 weeks.

Note that the conspiracy theories below are only meant to generate a discussion and are not meant as serious analytical theories.

Conspiracy theory #1: Hizballa is pointing their own laser target designators, illuminating buildings of their choosing and confusing Israel's smart bombs into hitting the wrong target. By doing so, the Iranian proxy is cornering Israel diplomatically.

Conspiracy theory #2: Instead of using technology to confuse the IAF targeting, Hizballa is using double agents to achieve the same purpose.

Conspiracy theory #3: Condi pressures Ehud to announce a cease-fire. Ehud does not want to lose face so he creates this incident as an excuse for a cease-fire.


What do you think is behind these two puzzling events?

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Conspiracy theory #3: Israel has failed is defeating the Moukawama (Resistance) and is taking revenge on the civilians!

Anonymous said...

#3 proved to be false. How about this: Hizbullah moved bodies from other areas, put them in the building and blew it up?

Anonymous said...

It is interesting that the death toll was less than halved yesterday. What's even more interesting is that all the victims were allegedly women and children. Where were the men?

Anonymous said...

I admire the even handedness of tis blog.

On tOn Israel hitting theUN post, according to Lewis Mackenzie, a Canadian observer, HA was firing missiles from its vicinity.